Super Bowl props provide a unique opportunity for bettors to isolate value and unlock myriad ways to realize a profit on the big game. Following are a handful of props for Super Bowl LIV that fit the bill:
Shortest Touchdown — Under 1.5 Yards (-150)
There has been a one-yard touchdown in five of the last seven Super Bowls and it only narrowly missed last year when Sony Michel crashed over on a two-yard run. Both conference championships featured one-yard touchdowns. All four divisional playoff games had one-yard scores. A total of eight of the 10 postseason games this year have seen a one-yard touchdown.
Patrick Mahomes – Over 30.5 Rush Yards (-150)
Mahomes has rushed for 53 yards in each of his two playoff games, routinely doing so to avoid throwing across his body. The 49ers are unlikely to overcommit with a blitz but nonetheless figure to get pressure with their front, meaning Mahomes will be doing his fair share of scrambling.
Jimmy Garoppolo – Over 19.5 Completions (-110)
The Niners have tended to throw the ball in close games and this game projects to be tight given the near pickem price. Garoppolo averaged 22 completions per game this season in contests that were decided by four points or fewer.
Highest Scoring Half – Second Half (-115)
Nerves typically play a role early on in Super Bowls, which leads to slow starts for the offenses. That should be especially true in this game, with both Mahomes and Garoppolo appearing on the biggest stage for the first time. All told, 10 of the past 15 Super Bowls have seen more scoring in the second half than the first half.
Deebo Samuel – Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Samuel is the Niners’ biggest big-play threat. He has 17 receptions of 20-plus yards including the playoffs and ranks No. 10 among all receivers in yards per target. He’s become increasingly involved in the offense over the second half of the season, so he’s likely to be a big part of the game plan.
Gatorade Color – Red (+300)
This one seems to be lining up perfectly. The Niners wear red. The Chiefs wear red. Andy Reid’s face is red. Team colors have hit in two of the last four Super Bowls in which Gatorade has been poured on the winning coach.