NFL Market Report: Week 15

Week 15 begins with the final Thursday Night Football game of the year between the Jets and Ravens in Baltimore. The line opened Ravens -14.5, partly due to the news that Lamar Jackson was dealing with a quad injury. While he was limited in practice all week, he announced on Wednesday that he was good to go for Thursday night. The market responded accordingly, with the number moving to 15.5 by Wednesday night before a subsequent move to 16.5 by Thursday morning. The total has bounced between 44.5 and 45.

• The early window on Sunday is highlighted by an AFC South showdown between the Texans and Titans in Nashville. Each team is 8-5 but appear headed in different directions. Tennessee is 6-1 straight up and ATS since Ryan Tannehill took over at quarterback, while the Texans are coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Broncos and have covered just twice in their last seven games. The Titans opened as 3-point home favorites and the number has stayed put. The total has generated some sharp interest, with over money fueling a move off an opener of 48 up to 50.5.

• The Packers host the Bears looking to take a big step toward the NFC North title. Green Bay is 10-3 overall, but after a 4-1 ATS start to the season, the market has caught up to the Pack a bit, as they have covered just four of eight games since. The Bears, meanwhile, have won four of their last five to claw back to the fringe of the playoff race. At 4-9 ATS, Chicago has nonetheless been one of the worst teams relative to market expectations. The Packers opened as 5-point favorites at Lambeau and the first move was to 4.5, which is where the number settled and remained as of Thursday morning.

• The offensively-challenged Patriots visit the Bengals and went up as 10-point favorites, which immediately drew some sharp interest on Cincinnati +10, resulting in an adjustment to 9. New England has covered just once in its last five games, losing three of them outright. The Bengals, meanwhile, have shown some signs of life with Andy Dalton back under center, going 2-0-1 ATS — including their first win of the season.

• The late window features a clash between the resurgent Rams and reeling Cowboys in Dallas. The Rams, who have consecutive blowout wins under their belt, opened as 3-point underdogs vs. the Cowboys. That number was subsequently steamed down to a pickem by midweek, with both professional and public action hitting LA hard. Another surge of Rams money on Thursday morning gave way to yet another adjustment, with Dallas flipping to 1.5-point dogs. The market is clearly fading a Cowboys team that has dropped four of its last five outright.

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